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An LPL Team Predicted by Simulation Algorithms to be the 2023 Worlds Champion, Not JDG

(Tổ Quốc) - The name predicted to win the 2023 Worlds comes from LPL, but it’s quite surprising.

November 5, 2025
in Tournaments
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Among the LPL representatives participating in the 2023 World Championship (Worlds), Bilibili Gaming (BLG) is the team that has raised many doubts about its strength. This concern stems from the fact that three players in the main lineup of BLG, including Bin, Xun, and Elk, recently went through a less than successful Asian Games. Moreover, BLG did not perform well in the decisive matches of the recent LPL Summer qualifiers. These are seen as poor preparations for the 2023 Worlds.

BLG has not made good preparations for the 2023 Worlds
BLG has not made good preparations for the 2023 Worlds

However, a League of Legends player recently posted a very detailed article just to prove that BLG will definitely pass the Swiss round of the 2023 Worlds. The interesting part is that this player came up with a mathematical formula to calculate the probabilities. He then ran a simulation one million times to find out BLG’s chances in the upcoming round.

A player has found a formula for calculating the probability of passing the Swiss round based on the strength of teams ranked from 1 to 16
A player has found a formula for calculating the probability of passing the Swiss round based on the strength of teams ranked from 1 to 16

The result is that this player calculated that BLG would have an average win rate of up to 64.23%. Therefore, BLG is sure to pass the Swiss round with a final result of 3-1 or 3-2. In fact, the chance of BLG winning the 2023 Worlds with this win rate is also extremely high. This player’s post has garnered significant attention from the LPL community. Many expressed admiration for his intellect in coming up with such a complex probability calculation formula.

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This player even calculated BLG's win rate at the 2023 Worlds to be 64.23%
This player even calculated BLG’s win rate at the 2023 Worlds to be 64.23%

Fairly speaking, BLG remains a strong representative of the LPL region. Just at the recent MSI 2023, this team had defeated both Gen.G and T1, only falling to JD Gaming (JDG) in the grand final. Therefore, despite facing some difficulties recently, it is unlikely that BLG will be eliminated in the Swiss round of the 2023 Worlds.

Ultimately, BLG is still the second seed of the LPL region
Ultimately, BLG is still the second seed of the LPL region

Basically, the detailed post by the aforementioned League of Legends player will help BLG fans feel more assured about their team’s championship chances at the 2023 Worlds. Hopefully, Bin and his teammates can overcome their recent difficulties to perform well in BLG’s first appearance at the Worlds.

Tags: blgGamegaming newsJDGleague of legendslmht newsLoLLoL newsriotRiot GamesWorlds 2023Worlds 2023 news

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